The report suggests that Pakistan may agree to the deal for two reasons: to expand its regional influence by supporting Bangladesh, which currently has strained relations with India, and because the sale would not disrupt the defense equilibrium with Pakistan due to the missile's limited range. However, the transaction would require careful navigation of international arms control regimes like the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR), which may influence Islamabad's final decision.
Defense experts warn that Bangladesh's acquisition of Abdali missiles could escalate an arms race in the region, prompting India to strengthen its missile defenses and offensive capabilities. Analysts also view this development as a response to India's growing military presence near the Bangladesh border and the strained relations between the two nations following recent political changes in Dhaka. The interim government, led by Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus, has been criticized by New Delhi for failing to address communal violence against minorities in Bangladesh, further deepening the diplomatic rift.
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